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Thursday, January 27, 2011

Obama Embraces Business Agenda on Exports, Taxes, Debt

President Barack Obama embraced much of the business community’s agenda last night, calling for progress on stalled trade pacts, investments in roads and education, reworking the corporate tax code, and freezing discretionary spending to cut the deficit.

The pledges in the State of the Union address by Obama, who tussled with business groups during the first two years of his term, match requests by chief executive officers from Verizon Communications Inc., Honeywell International Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. in a report they presented to the administration last month.

Obama “has put an olive branch out to business, and it seems like a sincere offer,” said Jim Kessler, vice president for policy at the Third Way, a Washington-based policy group that describes itself as moderate. “The president seems to be focused on growth and making business a partner, not a foil.”

With Republicans taking control of the House of Representatives and U.S. growth still sluggish, Obama said his proposals were aimed at creating jobs and reorienting the economy to confront challenges from abroad.

Instead of pushing contentious issues such as health-care legislation and overhauling financial regulation, as he did in the first two years of his term, Obama focused on investments for growth, which should garner support from corporate leaders, Kessler said.

Boeing Forecast Trails Estimates on Pension, Delays

Boeing Co. tumbled the most in five months after forecasting 2011 profit that trailed analysts’ estimates amid delays to its two marquee jets, higher pension expenses and scaled-back defense spending in the U.S.

Net income will be $3.80 to $4 a share, including an increase of 58 cents a share in pension expenses, the Chicago- based company said in a statement today. That lagged behind the $4.53-a-share average estimate of 26 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Projected sales of $68 billion to $71 billion met estimates of about $69.5 billion.

Boeing has struggled with two of its newest planes, the 787 Dreamliner, which is three years late, and the 747-8, running a year and a half behind schedule, while the defense business has been hurt by military budget cuts. Boeing is responding by boosting output of other commercial jets to record rates as air- travel demand recovers from the recession.

Wednesday, January 26, 2011

Global Economic Calendar (26-Jan-2011)

Global Economic Calendar for 26th January 2011

**Time is with respect to Singapore Time (GMT+8:00)


Google's Schmidt to Stay `as Long as It's Exciting'

Google Inc.’s Eric Schmidt said he has no plans to leave the owner of the world’s largest search engine, dismissing speculation he’s considering a career in the media or politics.

Schmidt said last week he will step down as chief executive officer in favor of Google co-founder Larry Page and become executive chairman. The executive is “committed to Google,” he told reporters at the Digital-Life-Design conference in Munich today. “How long are you committed to doing what you’re doing? As long as it’s exciting,” he said in response to a question about his plans.

Schmidt, 55, may be considering a career as a television host, the New York Post reported yesterday. Ken Auletta, author of “Googled: The End of the World as We Know It,” told Bloomberg TV that Schmidt may be weighing a role in the administration of U.S. President Barack Obama.

By turning to Page, Google may be looking to rekindle the entrepreneurial spirit that allowed it to grow into one of the world’s most valuable companies. The new CEO of the Mountain View, California-based company will confront challenges from Facebook Inc., Apple Inc., and startups such as Groupon Inc. in social networking, entertainment and retail.

Consumer Confidence in U.S. Rose More Than Forecast

Confidence among U.S. consumers rose more than forecast in January, reaching an eight-month high, as the outlook for jobs brightened.

The Conference Board’s sentiment index increased to 60.6 from 53.3 the prior month, figures from the New York-based private research group showed today. Another report showed home values dropped in November by the most in a year.

Growing optimism, an improving labor market and tax relief may combine to help spur consumer spending, which accounts for about 70 percent of the economy. At the same time, the absence of a sustained housing rebound and unemployment above 9 percent are among reasons the Federal Reserve may announce tomorrow it will stick to a plan for more stimulus.

Tuesday, January 25, 2011

Global Economic Calendar (25-Jan-2011)

Global Economic Calendar for 25th January 2011

**Time is with respect to Singapore Time (GMT+8:00)

Tiger Global Puts New Private-Equity Fund Into Facebook...

Chase Coleman’s Tiger Global LLC is raising $1.25 billion for its sixth private-equity fund and has used some of the money to increase its stake in Facebook Inc., according to two people briefed on the plan.

Tiger Global, based in New York, has $1 billion in commitments and plans to line up an additional $250 million by next month, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the information is private. Coleman, 35, has steered about $80 million from the new pool into Facebook, whose more than 600 million users make it the top social-networking site.

The firm raised more than $2.5 billion for its previous private-equity partnerships, buying stakes in companies including Facebook, LinkedIn Corp., a professional networking site, and Youku.com, China’s largest online-video provider, the people said. Its $1.1 billion fifth fund has returned an average of 15 percent a year since its start in 2008, according to a September investor document reviewed by Bloomberg News.

Suicide Bombing at Moscow Airport Kills at Least 31....

The 30-stock Micex Index closed down 1.5 percent after falling as much as 2.4 percent, its steepest intraday decline since July 30. The ruble was 0.4 percent stronger against the dollar at 29.8250 at the 5 p.m. close of trading. Russia’s dollar bonds due 2020 climbed, pushing the yield 5 basis points lower to 4.992 percent.

Central bank Chairman Sergey Ignatiev told reporters in Moscow that “nothing will happen to the ruble or the banking system” as a result of the attack.

Domodedovo moved a record 22.3 million passengers last year, making it the busiest air hub in eastern Europe. It services 75 airlines and handles more than 600 flights a day. Deutsche Lufthansa AG was among airlines that cancelled flights in and out of Domodedovo indefinitely.

The airport’s security was breached in 2004, when terrorists bribed their way through security checks to board two passenger planes, which they subsequently brought down, killing all 90 people on board. The attacks were claimed by Islamist militants.

Monday, January 24, 2011

Metals Traders Worth $3 Million Amid Shortages as Wall Street Pay Shrinks...

After a year when U.S. President Barack Obama signed a law curbing risk-taking on Wall Street and pay at banks fell, metals traders are reaping bonus bonanzas.

The traders probably earned as much as 20 percent more last year than in 2009, with the most-profitable getting $2 million to $3 million, said Peter Henry, head of front-office search at Commodity Search Partners Ltd. The figure, confirmed by three other recruiters who declined to be identified because they aren’t authorized to speak publicly, compares with no change to a drop of 10 percent in pay across commodities personnel.

“Metals traders are an exception when there’s pressure on banks to cut remuneration,” New York-based Henry said. They “are making more money than other parts of the banks and the bonuses reflect that to some extent,” he said.

Metals traders are setting up for another banner year, with Barclays Capital predicting shortages and higher prices in copper, nickel and tin. Average pay across JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s investment bank and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. fell last year and Morgan Stanley cut its investment bank’s compensation pool, filings showed last week. The Dodd-Frank Act signed in July seeks to stop compensation that spurs too much risk-taking.

Brisbane Roads Circling Globe Twice Needed in Flood Disaster...

To build an average house, you need 6,200 bricks, 2,950 roof tiles, 785 floor tiles and 15 cans of paint -- multiply that 28,000 times and you get a picture of the task to rebuild Brisbane after Australia’s worst flood.

It gets worse: the state of Queensland will need to rebuild 90,000 kilometers (56,000 miles) of roads, enough to circle the globe twice, thousands of kilometers of rail line, almost 100 schools, an unknown number of bridges, several regional airports, power lines, sewers and water treatment -- the list goes on.

Australian companies, including its largest building- materials seller Boral Ltd., the No. 1 furniture and electrical retailer Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd., paint maker DuluxGroup Ltd. and plumbing supplier Reece Australia Ltd., will benefit from the reconstruction estimated to cost A$20 billion ($20 billion). The floods are the most expensive natural disaster in the nation’s history and have claimed at least 20 lives.

Thursday, January 20, 2011

Global Economic Calendar (21-Jan-2011)

Global Economic Calendar for 21st January 2011

**Time is with respect to Singapore Time (GMT+8:00)

Initial Jobless Claims in U.S. Fell to 404,000 Last Week

The number of Americans filing first-time claims for unemployment insurance payments fell more than forecast last week, adding to evidence the labor market is healing.

Applications for jobless benefits decreased 37,000 in the week ended Jan. 15, the biggest decline since February 2010, to 404,000, Labor Department figures showed today. Economists forecast 420,000 claims, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey. The number of people on unemployment benefit rolls fell, while those getting extended payments rose.

Employers may be retaining workers after the economy showed signs of strengthening at the end of last year. Economic growth may need to accelerate further and encourage companies to ramp up the hiring necessary to reduce an unemployment rate that’s hovering close to a 26-year high.

Wednesday, January 19, 2011

Global Economic Calendar (20-Jan-2011)

Global Economic Calendar for 20th January 2011

**Time is with respect to Singapore Time (GMT+8:00)

Tuesday, January 18, 2011

Citigroup Profit Misses Analysts' Estimates on Credit Spreads...

Citigroup Inc., the third-largest U.S. bank, said earnings were $1.31 billion, less than analysts estimated, as narrowing credit spreads reduced pretax profit by $1.1 billion.

Fourth-quarter net income was 4 cents a share, compared with a $7.58 billion loss, or 33 cents, in the same period in 2009, New York-based Citigroup said today in a statement. Eight analysts had predicted in a Bloomberg survey that Citigroup would report a per-share profit of 7 cents.

The $10.6 billion in 2010 earnings mark the first profitable year under Chief Executive Officer Vikram Pandit, 54. Pandit took over in December 2007 and led Citigroup to losses of $29.3 billion during the next two years. The U.S. Treasury, which gave the bank a taxpayer-funded $45 billion bailout in 2008, also sold the last of its stake in the fourth quarter. Citigroup stock rose 43 percent during the year.

Monday, January 17, 2011

Orphanides Says Fund Could Buy Bonds Instead of ECB

The ECB is pressing governments to take more responsibility for Europe’s sovereign debt crisis so that it can withdraw non- standard measures and return to its traditional role of inflation fighting. Euro-area finance ministers meeting in Brussels today have signaled they’re considering expanding their response to the crisis, which may include mandating the 440 billion-euro ($585 billion) EFSF to purchase debt.

German two-year government notes advanced for the first time in five days, pushing the yield down five basis points to 1.11 percent at 10:52 a.m. in London. The euro initially dropped before recovering to be little changed at $1.3287.

Orphanides’ comments “show that frustration at the ECB over government handling of the crisis and constantly having to act as the first line of defense is coming close to boiling point,” said Carsten Brzeski, an economist at ING Group NV in Brussels.

Cheapest Stocks Get Cheaper After 10% Global Rally

Even after global stocks rallied 10 percent last year, valuations around the world fell the most in a decade, leaving companies in Norway, Italy and Mexico the cheapest of all.

The average price-earnings ratio of global equities dropped as profits in the 45-nation MSCI All-Country World Index rose faster than the gauge, which has rallied to the highest level since August 2008, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Investors are finding bargains outside the U.S., where the biggest two- year rally since the Internet boom has sent the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index’s income multiple to almost a seven-month high.

Of the 45 nations in the all-country index, only Egypt and Ireland will see earnings fall this year, according to analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. That’s the fewest since 2004. The gauge rose 0.2 percent to a two-year high on Jan. 14, completing its seventh straight weekly advance, after European officials stepped up efforts to solve the debt crisis and Japan pledged to buy bonds to aid Ireland and Greece. The measure slipped 0.2 percent at 10:30 a.m. in London today.

Sunday, December 19, 2010

Announcement - Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year!

Hi everyone,

Wishing everyone a Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year in advance! I am going for a holiday and ForexNewsPaper will stop posting for the festive season till 2011 :)

I am closing my books for the year 2010. 2010 has been one hell of a trading year, looking forward for more in 2011 =^_^= Hope everyone had it good as well.

For those who are still keeping their books open, trade safely.

Finally, remember. When you party, please do not drink and drive. Up keep your social responsibility =]

Friday, December 17, 2010

Global Economic Calendar (17-Dec-2010)

Global Economic Calendar for 17th December 2010

**Time is with respect to Singapore Time (GMT+8:00)


Wednesday, December 15, 2010

Fed Signals Stronger Economy Won't Slow $600 Billion Stimulus

Federal Reserve policy makers indicated that signs of economic strength won’t deter them from pumping money into the financial system so long as unemployment remains elevated.

The Federal Open Market Committee said yesterday after its final meeting of 2010 that growth is “insufficient to bring down unemployment” and inflation has “continued to trend lower.” U.S. central bankers affirmed a plan to buy $600 billion of bonds through June and renewed their pledge for an “extended period” of low interest rates.

Stocks climbed and Treasuries fell as continued Fed stimulus and better-than-forecast retail sales boosted the outlook for growth in the coming year. Policy makers led by Chairman Ben S. Bernanke are defying Republican criticism that their policy will fuel inflation and asset price bubbles to focus on cutting an unemployment rate that has stayed above 9.4 percent since May 2009.

Global Economic Calendar (16-Dec-2010)

Global Economic Calendar for 16th December 2010.

**Time is with respect to Singapore Time (GMT+8:00)

***Note - US Unemployment claim at 9:30pm.

Tuesday, December 14, 2010

Global Economic Calendar (15-Dec-2010)


Global Economic Calendar for 15th December 2010

**Time is with respect to Singapore Time (GMT+8:00)

US consumer recovery...

Sales at U.S. retailers rose more than forecast in November as holiday shopping got under way, a sign consumers will play a bigger role in the recovery.

Purchases increased 0.8 percent, following a 1.7 percent gain in October that was larger than previously estimated, Commerce Department figures showed today in Washington. The median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News called for a 0.6 percent rise. Excluding autos, gasoline and building materials, which are the figures used to calculate gross domestic product, sales climbed 0.9 percent, the most since August.

Customers snapped up discounts at chains like Target Corp. and Macy’s Inc. during the Thanksgiving weekend, the traditional kick-off to the busiest sales season of the year. Even as the world’s largest economy gains momentum heading into 2011, high unemployment and the risk of a prolonged drop in prices remain concerns for Federal Reserve policy makers meeting today.

The holiday-shopping “season got off to a really solid start,” said Chris Low, chief economist at FTN Financial in New York, who correctly forecast the increase in sales. “There’s no question this will be the strongest quarter for consumer spending since before the recession. The economy has pretty good momentum going into the new year.”

India's inflation figure.

Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee said on Tuesday that India's headline inflation is expected to ease to 6 percent by March.

India's (WPI) wholesale price index rose to an annual 7.48 percent in November, as showed by government data.

The figure compared with the median forecast for a 7.48-percent rise in a Reuters poll and was lower than the annual rise of 8.58 percent in October.

The Indian central bank, the Reserve Bank of India, is widely expected to hold rates at its policy review scheduled to be held on Thursday.

Global Economic Calendar (14-Dec-2010)

Global Economic Calendar for 14th December 2010

**Time is with respect to Singapore Time (GMT+8:00)

Sunday, December 12, 2010

Global Economic Calendar (13-Dec-2010)

Global Economic Calendar for 13th December 2010

*Time is with respect to Singapore Time (+GMT8:00)

Thursday, December 09, 2010

Well done Australia?

Australian employers last month added more than double the number of workers economists had forecast, driving up the local dollar against all other Group of 10 currencies and propelling the nation’s stocks higher.

The number of people employed gained 54,600 from October, the statistics bureau said in Sydney today. That compares with the median forecast for a 20,000 increase in a Bloomberg News survey of 26 economists. The jobless rate fell to 5.2 percent from 5.4 percent a month earlier.

A stronger labor market may help bolster consumer spending after the Australian economy expanded in the third quarter at the slowest pace in almost two years. Central bank Governor Glenn Stevens this week left interest rates unchanged at 4.75 percent, citing few signs of near-term inflation pressure.

“The labor market is the driving force in the economy,” John Honan, chief economist at Ausbil Dexia Ltd. in Sydney, said before the report.

The number of full-time jobs advanced 55,100 in November and part-time employment was little changed, falling by 400, today’s report showed. Australia’s participation rate, which measures the labor force as a percentage of the population over 15 years old, increased to 66.1 percent in November from 65.9 percent a month earlier, it showed.

Wednesday, December 08, 2010

Yo Obama! Reducing pressure by tax cuts?

President Barack Obama’s agreement to prolong Bush-era income-tax cuts may reduce pressure on the Federal Reserve to extend its $600 billion bond-purchase program while spurring U.S. economic growth.

Obama’s deal with congressional Republicans may raise gross domestic product next year by as much as half a percentage point to about 3.1 percent, said Michael Feroli, chief U.S. economist at JPMorgan Chase & Co. in New York. Tom Porcelli, a senior economist at RBC Capital Markets Corp. in New York, is raising his growth forecast for 2011 by one point, also to 3.1 percent.

The agreement goes beyond what economists were expecting by including a 2 percent cut in payroll taxes, which fund Social Security and Medicare. The proposal also sets the estate tax at a top rate of 35 percent, extends aid for the long-term unemployed by 13 months and would allow companies next year to deduct the full cost of investments in equipment.

“I think it does reduce the odds that the Fed does more purchases,” Feroli said. “You’re going to have a pretty nice increase in disposable income and that should lift consumer spending.”

Global Economic Calendar (09-Dec-2010)

Global Economic Calendar for 9th December 2010

**Time is with respect to Singapore Time (GMT+8:00)

*Note: 9:30pm (US Data: Unemployment Claims)

Monday, December 06, 2010

Global Economic Calendar (07-Dec-2010)

Global Economic Calendar for 7th December 2010

**Time is with respect to Singapore Time (GMT+8:00)

What's up Uncle Ben?

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the economy is barely expanding at a sustainable pace and that it’s possible the Fed may expand bond purchases beyond the $600 billion announced last month to spur growth.

“We’re not very far from the level where the economy is not self-sustaining,” Bernanke said in an interview broadcast yesterday by CBS Corp.’s “60 Minutes” program. “It’s very close to the border. It takes about 2.5 percent growth just to keep unemployment stable and that’s about what we’re getting.”

Bernanke, in a rare appearance on a nationally broadcast news program, defended the Fed’s efforts to prop up a recovery so weak that only 39,000 jobs were created in November. The unemployment rate last month rose to 9.8 percent, the highest level since April, the Labor Department said on Dec. 3, three days after the Bernanke interview was taped. Republican lawmakers have said the Fed’s policy of “quantitative easing” may do little to help unemployment and may fuel inflation.

Global Economic Calendar (06-Dec-2010)

Global Economic Calendar for 6th December 2010.

*Time is with respect to Singapore Time (GMT+8:00)


Trade Done (29/Nov/2010 - 3/Dec/2010)

Sharing my trades done for last week (29/Nov/2010 till 3/Dec/2010)

To be honest. This week's trade was quite stressful for me due to a blunder I did last week. Had to cover last week's losses which amounts to -47pips. The losses I made the week before was a stupid error and it is really an unacceptable error for a trader. I forgot to put my stop loss which wiped out pips gained :( Grrrr....

29/Nov/2010 - 3/Dec-2010 has been a good week, 161.3pips :) Let's see how 6/Dec/2010 - 10/Dec/2010 turns out to be like :)

My trades for the recent week as per below. Time is with respect to US Eastern Time (GMT-5:00)

Friday, December 03, 2010

Canadian Bank fall...

Canadian bank stocks fell after Royal Bank said it earned 84 cents a share in the fourth quarter, excluding certain items, trailing the average analyst estimate by 17 percent.

Royal Bank dropped 5 percent, the most intraday in six months, to C$52.95. Bank of Montreal, the country’s fourth- largest lender by assets, declined 1.1 percent to C$60.17. Bank of Nova Scotia, the No. 3 bank, advanced 1.4 percent to C$54.73 after reporting earnings that topped the average analyst forecast by 2.5 percent.

Canadian Oil Sands slumped 7.4 percent to C$26.31 after saying it expects to declare a quarterly dividend of 20 cents a share next month. The company’s last three shareholder payouts have been 50 cents a unit, and Bloomberg analysts had forecast a dividend of 35 cents a share for next quarter. Analysts at Bank of Montreal and UBS AG cut their rating on Canadian Oil Sands units.

Western Coal Corp., which mines in Canada and the U.S., jumped 11 percent to a record C$11.42 after agreeing to an C$11.50-a-share takeover offer from Walter Energy Inc. Teck Resources Inc., Canada’s largest coal and base-metals producer, climbed for a fifth day, rallying 1.4 percent to C$54.80.

Does US Payroll increase act as an indicator for economy in 2011???

An increase in November payrolls probably pushed U.S. job gains past the 1 million mark for the year as the world’s largest economy strengthened heading into 2011, economists said before a report today.

Employment increased by 150,000 last month, according to the median forecast of 87 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, bringing the rise so far this year to 1.02 million. The advances haven’t been large enough to bring down unemployment, which held at 9.6 percent, according to the survey median.

Another report may show service industries, which account for almost 90 percent of the economy, grew last month at the fastest pace since May as more jobs and rising wages boosted holiday sales at retailers like J.C. Penney Co. and Gap Inc. At the same time, the Federal Reserve is concerned joblessness will be slow to retreat, explaining why policy makers announced a new round of monetary stimulus.

conomists’ projections for the jobless rate, which has been at 9.6 percent since August, varied from 9.4 percent to 9.7 percent. November would be the 16th month of joblessness at 9.5 percent or higher, the longest such stretch since records began in 1948.

Job losses in 2008 and 2009 totaled 8.4 million, pushing unemployment up from 5 percent in December 2007, as the worst recession since the 1930s took its toll.

Fed policy makers last month began buying Treasury securities as part of a plan to pump as much as $600 billion more into the financial system in a bid to keep interest rates low and spur growth. Chairman Ben S. Bernanke has been among those saying the recovery has been too slow, keeping unemployment too high and leading to a deceleration in inflation that raises the risk of deflation, or sustained and damaging price decreases.

Thursday, December 02, 2010

Global Economic Calendar (03-Dec-2010)

Global Economic Calendar for 3rd December 2010.

**Time is with respect to Singapore Time (GMT+08:00)

Take Note of:

1) 9:30pm > USD Non-Farm Payroll

US - Where are the jobs???

Indicator that the labour market will take time to improve after applications to begin receiving unemployment benefits in the U.S. increases more than forecast last week.

Unemployment claims increased to 436,000, a jump by 26,000 in the week ended Nov. 27, Labour Department figures showed today in Washington. The less-volatile four week moving average fell to the lowest level since August 2008. The total number of people receiving unemployment insurance has increased and those on extended payments also jumped.

After slowing the pace in November, companies may be on the cusp of ramping up the hiring necessary to further uplift consumer spending, which accounts for 70 percent of the economy. A Labour Department report tomorrow may show employers added 145,000 workers last month and the unemployment rate held at 9.6 percent.

Wednesday, December 01, 2010

Global Economic Calendar (02-Dec-2010)


Global Economic Calendar for 2nd December 2010

**Time is with respect to Singapore Time (GMT+08:00)

- Take note of USD's data > Unemployment Claims at 9:30pm.

What do you have for us, Joaquin Almunia?

Around 1.1 Trillion Euros of state loans or guarantees last year has been used by banks in the 27 nation in Europe which was stated by the commission today. The Europe’s antitrust agency that checks whether subsidies distort competition in the region has granted approval for the measures as part of its response to the biggest financial crisis since the Great Depression.

European policymakers are giving their best to wean banks off government assistance to avoid harming competition. Joaquin Almunia, European Union’s competition commissioner extended the crisis rules into 2011 and informing reporters that he hoped to end them in a year’s time or “when normal conditions come back.” He also said that he could see new state aid guidelines for the financial industry starting on 1st January 2012.

Trades Done (30-Nov-2010)

Like before, once in awhile I will be sharing some of my trades done here in ForexNewsPaper blog.

Following are my trades done for 30th November 2010. The time are with respect to Eastern US time. Which is currently 13hours lagging from Singapore Time.

Total pips reaped yesterday was 79pips.

Tuesday, November 30, 2010

Global Economic Calendar (01-Dec-2010)

Global Economic Calendar for 01st December 2010

**Time is respect to Singapore Time (GMT+8:00)

What is going on today?

The Euro fell below $1.30 against the Greenbacks for the first time in more than 10 weeks as investors shunned riskier assets amid speculation Europe’s debt crisis will broaden and as unemployment in the region touched a 12-year high.

The JPY reached its strongest level since 15th September versus the Euro amid speculation China will put in more effort to cool its economy. The CHF and Greenbacks also rose versus major peers as Portuguese, Italian and Spanish government bonds slumped, encouraging demand for a refuge, and data showed U.S. home-price increases rose less than forecast in September.

Monday, November 29, 2010

Global Economic Calendar (30-Nov-2010)


Global Economic Calendar for 30th November 2010

*Time is with respect to Singapore Time (GMT+8:00)

Can Euro hold it???

The declination of Euro reached 1 percent against the Greenbacks and 0.8 percent per JPY. CHF rose 1 percent against the Euro and it advanced against 14 of its 16 main counterparts.

The Italian 10-year debt yield advanced 15 basis points to 4.58 percent as the government auctioned 6.8 billion euros of bonds due in 2013, 2017 and 2021. Credit-default swaps on Spain climbed 24 basis points to 247 while contracts on Portugal increased 36.5 basis points to 538.5, according to CMA, a data provider. The Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe Index of swaps on 15 governments increased six basis points to a record 194.

Irish bonds fell, erasing earlier gains, sending the extra yield investors demand to hold 10-year Irish bonds instead of benchmark German bunds six basis points higher, widening for the seventh day. The cost of default swaps on Irish government debt rose four basis points to 602, while contracts on Greece dropped 21 basis points to 951, according to CMA.

Sunday, November 28, 2010

Global Economic Calendar (29-Nov-2010)

Global Economic Calendar for 29th November 2010
**Time is with respect to Singapore Time (GMT+8:00)

Saturday, November 27, 2010

What is happening to the Loonie???



The Loonie (CAD) weakened the most in more than a month against the Greenbacks as heightened concern about Europe’s debt woes and conflict between North and South Korea increased demand for assets considered havens.

Loonie was among four of the 16 most-traded currencies that performed the worst against Greenbacks on 27th November 2010. Loonie and its commodity-linked peers in Australia and New Zealand also dropped as resource prices declined on speculation that the Chinese will increase borrowing costs further.

From the attached chart of USD/CAD (Weekly) as of 27th Nov 2010 at 4:40am(Singapore Time). After the resistance at the Triple Top, there was a strong downside movements but it appears to be slowing down with current support around 0.9950 area. If we are looking on the upside movements of if there is any, we can look at Fibo 23.6% for 1st resistance followed by Fibo 38.2%. Any higher than this, we would need more confirmation and market commitment because frankly, I still do not trust the Greenbacks just yet.

Revival of ForexNewsPaper.blogspot.com


It has come to a decision that the revival of ForexNewsPaper.blogspot.com will be effective as of 27th November 2010.

The author have decided to revive this blog with emails demands from readers of ForexNewsPaper.blogspot.com

Regards,
ForexNewsPaper.blogspot.com

Thursday, October 14, 2010

Thank you Ricky for your feedback...

Anonymous Ricky @ forex trading said...

I think you should post something about forex in this blog. You were posting the good information that we all need. Post it monthly or when you have time.
- 7:39 PM



Blogger Ash Ariffin said...

Hi Ricky! Thank you for your comments and interest on my postings. It is not that I have stopped posting, only that it has shifted to Facebook :)

I thank you for your feedback and will think about it on whether to revive posting on this blog.
- 9:07 AM

Sunday, April 11, 2010

100% shifted to FaceBook...

Hello people,

I apologise for "Missing In Action" for the longest time. The truth is, I did not go "MIA", I have shifted to Facebook which is easier for me to share.

Feel free to add me in Facebook > Search for "Ash Ariffin" and request to add. Do not forget to write message "From ForexNewsPaper".

Warmest Regards,
Ash Ariffin

P.S: This blog will be kept active for memory sake :)

Monday, November 23, 2009

Wednesday, October 07, 2009

Update from my previous quickie on USD/JPY.



Update from my previous quickie on the USD/JPY last week can be seen in FaceBook.

Click Here to see it.

So far, it has been well on track with what we saw and study last week.

Thursday, October 01, 2009

Posting will be alternating between here and Facebook.


Hello everyone,

I have find that posting is much more effective for my fellow traders but no fear, public still can view my quickie updates from here because, I will attached a link to my related postings in Facebook here :)

Lastest quickie on USD/JPY > Click Here!

Warmest Regards,
Ash Ariffin

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Quickie on EURUSD.

EURUSD holds steady just beneath the 1.43-level with interim resistance seen at 1.4330, followed by 1.4360 and 1.44. Subsequent ceilings are eyed at 1.4440, backed by 1.4470 and 1.45. Support is seen at 1.4280, followed by 1.4230 and 1.42. Additional floors will emerge at 1.4150, followed by 1.41 and 1.4070.

Sunday, August 23, 2009

Global Events Calendar [24-08-2009] - [28-08-2009]

*Time displayed is based on Singapore Time (GMT+8:00).
*Click on it for the enlarged version.


A month of Ramadan. (Fasting month for Muslims)


Today, 22nd August 2009. Marks the first day of the fasting month for Muslims around the globe. The month where participating Muslims refrain from eating, drinking, sexual conduct, smoking, and indulging in anything that is in excess or ill-natured; from dawn until sunset.Ramaḍan is a time to fast for the sake of Allah, and to offer more prayer than usual, showing much gratitude to Allah for what he has given them.

Wishing all Muslims around the world a safe and healthy month of Ramadan.

Saturday, August 22, 2009

Hoenig Stirs Debate on Bank Failures as Fed Forum Convenes.

Source: Bloomberg.com





Aug. 20 (Bloomberg) -- The host for central bankers attending the Federal Reserve conference this weekend to discuss the financial crisis is a regional Fed chief who’s making waves with his proposal for letting big U.S. banks fail.

Thomas Hoenig, the Kansas City Fed president, will welcome Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke, European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet and dozens of other central bankers to the annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, starting today. Hoenig said he hopes the gathering will serve as a model for handling crises in the future.

Bernanke has urged Congress to back part of Hoenig’s proposal for dealing with faltering big banks, which would wipe out shareholder equity in any that receive government aid. The Treasury Department’s so-called resolution authority plan, while likely to result in stockholder losses, doesn’t require it.

“Tom is leading the mainstream on this,” said former Fed Governor Lyle Gramley, now senior economic adviser with New York-based Soleil Securities Corp. “He’s ahead of the curve.”

Hoenig, 62, took office in 1991 and is soon to be the longest-serving Fed policy maker. Out of the 12 regional Fed presidents, he is one of two to have served as a head of bank supervision. Hoenig is tougher than his colleagues on inflation, having dissented from interest-rate votes four times since 1995, always for tighter policy.

Alternative to Bailouts

Companies with weak capital or investor confidence shouldn’t be bailed out, Hoenig said in a private talk in Omaha, Nebraska, in March. He said the government instead should declare them insolvent, replace managers, remove the bad assets and require shareholders to take losses. Hoenig broke from his usual practice of speaking from notes on index cards for non- economic comments and released written text entitled “Too Big Has Failed.”

Senator Sam Brownback of Kansas asked for a copy of the speech after reading a newspaper article about it. He invited Hoenig to testify at an April hearing of the Joint Economic Committee, where Brownback is the ranking Senate Republican. Brownback said he had received “huge numbers of calls” from constituents angry about bank bailouts.

“Tom putting it out there, said, ‘You’re frustrated and you’re mad and there’s a way to address it,’” Brownback said in an interview. “It gave it, I think, a realistic, regulator approach from a respected individual.” He said he would like Hoenig to address lawmakers again this year.

The debate has been fueled by multibillion dollar government rescues of financial companies including Citigroup Inc. and American International Group Inc. Lawmakers in line with Hoenig include Alabama Senator Richard Shelby, the top Republican on the Banking Committee.

Shifting Risk

“Our regulatory reform effort must place the risk back where it belongs, on the risk takers and not on the taxpayers,” Shelby said in a statement.

Bernanke echoed Hoenig’s views in recent congressional testimony. In July 24 remarks to the House Financial Services Committee, the Fed chief indicated support for the Treasury’s resolution plan while adding that Congress might want to add some constraints such as requiring shareholders to bear losses.

“People are starting to sit up and take notice of his remarks,” said Camden Fine, president of Independent Community Bankers of America, a Washington-based trade group. “It’s influencing the debate.”

Not everybody agrees with Hoenig’s recommendation of setting strict guidelines to handle financial failures.

“You have to trust the authorities with some ability to change the rules when they need to,” said William Isaac, former head of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. and now chairman of the global financial services unit of LECG Corp., an economic and financial consulting company based in Emeryville, California.

Vigorous Debate

While Hoenig’s plan may not be covered in the formal discussions at Jackson Hole, his fingerprints extend past the brief remarks he delivers: Hoenig approves topics and speakers, with an eye to fostering debate.

“It has to be vigorous,” Hoenig said during an interview in a conference room next to his 14th-floor office at the bank’s new limestone-and-glass headquarters building in Kansas City. “I don’t think we’ll get better if we don’t listen to our critics as well as to those who praise us.”

Scheduled speakers include Bernanke tomorrow, along with Trichet, Bank of Japan Governor Masaaki Shirakawa, and less- well-known professors such as Carl Walsh of the University of California at Santa Cruz and Ricardo Caballero, chairman of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s economics department.

“I’m hoping that this becomes, in a sense, a lessons- learned and a beginning of a blueprint,” Hoenig said.

Roots in Iowa

Thomas Michael Hoenig grew up in Fort Madison, Iowa, the second of seven children of a plumber and homemaker. After being drafted into the Army and serving in Vietnam, he completed graduate studies in economics at Iowa State University in Ames. Unlike most students, Hoenig was ready with his dissertation topic, bank competition.

“He decided what he wanted to write his dissertation on and came in and told me,” recalled Dudley Luckett, a retired professor who was Hoenig’s adviser.

Hoenig joined the Kansas City Fed as an economist in 1973. He played basketball there with another young economist, Donald Kohn, who’s now the central bank’s vice chairman.

One of Hoenig’s defining experiences occurred in 1982, when he was on the front lines during the failure of Oklahoma City’s Penn Square Bank, which triggered a national banking crisis and helped precipitate the 1984 government takeover of Continental Illinois National Bank & Trust Co.

Principles Approach

“We learned lessons about concentrations of credit,” Hoenig said. That and subsequent events helped shape his view that setting hard rules for banks was better than the so-called principles-based approach, which favors wide-ranging edicts such as treating customers fairly. The U.K.’s financial regulator held itself out as a principles-based regulator until this year.

“There’s nothing in this crisis that I haven’t seen before,” Hoenig said.

Warning about dangers posed by big banks isn’t new for Hoenig. In a 1999 speech, Hoenig said the rise of “mega financial institutions” created a risk of a “less stable and a less efficient financial system” because the government would be reluctant to close troubled companies, creating implicit guarantees for some depositors and creditors.

Hoenig will become the longest-serving Fed policy maker this year when Minneapolis Fed President Gary Stern, who has also made a name studying too-big-to-fail, retires.

“I don’t ever recall him being so vocal on a subject like this,” said Douglas Lee, who runs Economics from Washington, a consulting firm in Potomac, Maryland. “He will certainly be a voice that will be listened to.”

Wednesday, April 22, 2009

Police investigating death of Freddie Mac official...

Source: Mail.com





David Kellermann, the acting chief financial officer of mortgage giant Freddie Mac, was found dead at his home Wednesday morning in what police said was an apparent suicide.

Mary Ann Jennings, director of public information for the Fairfax County, Va., Police Department, said Kellermann was found dead in his Reston, Va., home. The 41-year-old Kellermann has been Freddie Mac's chief financial officer since September.

Jennings said that a crime scene crew and homicide detectives were investigating the death, but that there didn't appear to be any sign of foul play.

McLean-based Freddie Mac has been criticized heavily for reckless business practices that some argue contributed to the housing and financial crisis. Freddic Mac is a government-controlled company that owns or guarantees about 13 million home loans. CEO David Moffett resigned last month.

Freddie Mac and sibling company Fannie Mae, which together own or back more than half of the home mortgages in the country, have been hobbled by skyrocketing loan defaults and have received about $60 billion in combined federal aid.

Kellermann was named acting chief financial officer in September 2008, after the resignation of Anthony "Buddy" Piszel, who stepped down after the September 2008 government takeover. The chief financial officer is responsible for the company's financial controls, financial reporting and oversight of the company's budget and financial planning.

Before taking that job, Kellerman served as senior vice president, corporate controller and principal accounting officer. He was with Freddie Mac for more than 16 years.