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Wednesday, August 29, 2007

My EUR/USD Trade (28-08-2007)


*Attached picture is my EUR/USD hourly chart. (Click for a bigger version)

Hello people :) Market started slow this week and it barely move when market opens on Monday due to GBP's Summer Banks Holiday. So Tuesday, I was expecting market to move and also my fingers are getting very itchy :P Hahahaha!!!

From my charts that I've attached to this post, you can see that I made two trades yesterday. The first one, I shorted the EUR/USD at the price line of 1.3631 at around 10:17am. I thought I might be able to be in the money by 4pm data release. I think there was leakage of news and market moved due to fundamentals before 4pm and stopped me out at my stop loss of 20pips. Was I sad? Nah! I was more excited to look at the market than be in tears over my bad trade :)

I continued on looking at the market, very closely this time round. I was expecting this jump in the EUR/USD to get exhausted because runnin of fundamentals cannot be sustained that long. The immediate resistance for yesterday was around 1.3680. During 6pm candle, I was looking at it moving and it cannot clear the price line of 1.3680.

I was very lucky yesterday because of one reason, I was waiting for my girlfriend to go out for dinner and guess what, she is stuck in a traffic jam! Whahahaha!!! That gave me a little bit more window to see the 7pm candle movement :P Hehehe! I looked at how the market was behaving at 7pm. I looked at it super duper closely. Then I decide to initiate a trade on the downside, I shorted EUR/USD at the price line of 1.3667. My stop loss at 1.3690 (23pips) and target profit at 1.3570 (97pips).

Some of you might be wondering why my target profit is at 1.3570, a profit of 97pips. 1.3570 is a little bit above the 10ma in the Daily charts and the opening on the (24-08-2007). I told my Big Daddy yesterday that if I am looking to short the EUR/USD, I will be looking at this price line for my target profit.

My girlfriend came at about 7:30pm, complaining about how bad the traffic jam was, due to a bus had broken down or something like that and bla bla, went for dinner and I got home at around 10pm. I opened my charts and I'm in the money. Considering at 2am there is a data release on the FOMC meeting minutes, I was watching the market like a hawk, I do not want another incident of my earlier trade to happen again. So I was watching and watching and there comes 1am, market looks calm and good and then comes 2am, market is still calm and good and then comes 3am, market is still calm and good and I decide to keep the trade running and went to sleep.

I woke up at today and BOOM! My target profit has been hit at 8:15am this morning at a profit of 97pips. So this week, my profit so far is 97pips - 20pips(My stopped out trade that I mentioned earlier) = 77pips. Not bad for the week :) 30pips more to reach my target for the week :)

Peace and trade safely everyone :)

Sunday, August 26, 2007

Global Events Calendar [27-08-2007] - [31-08-2007]

*Time is with respect to Singapore Time (GMT+8:00)

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Global Events Calendar [27-08-2007] - [31-08-2007]
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Monday [27-08-2007]
[Whole Day Event]---GBP Holiday: Summer Bank Holiday
9:00pm--------------EUR ECB President Trichet Speaks
10:00pm-------------USD Existing Home Sales

Tuesday [28-08-2007]
7:50am-----------JPY Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
4:00pm-----------CHF Consumption Indicator
4:00pm-----------EUR German Ifo Business Climate Index
4:00pm-----------EUR German Ifo Business Expectations Index
4:00pm-----------EUR M3 Money Supply y/y
4:30pm-----------GBP BBA Mortgage Approvals
10:00pm----------USD Consumer Confidence
10:00pm----------USD Richmond Fed Index
[Time Unknown]---EUR German CPI m/m (p)

Wednesday [29-08-2007]
2:00am---USD FOMC Meeting Minutes
2:00pm---EUR German Consumer Confidence
5:30pm---CHF Leading Index m/m
10:30pm--USD Crude Oil Inventories

Thursday [30-08-2007]
7:50am---JPY Retail Sales y/y
7:50am---JPY Large Retailers' Sales y/y
2:00pm---GBP Nationwide House Prices m/m
3:55pm---EUR German Unemployment Rate
4:00pm---EUR Italian Retail Sales m/m
4:30pm---GBP Mortgage Approvals
4:30pm---GBP Net Lending to Individuals m/m
6:00pm---GBP CBI Distributive Trades Realized
8:30pm---USD GDP Annualized q/q (r)
8:30pm---USD GDP Deflator Annualized q/q (r)
8:30pm---USD Unemployment Claims
10:00pm--USD House Price Index q/q

Friday [31-08-2007]
7:30am---JPY Core CPI y/y
7:30am---JPY Tokyo CPI y/y
7:30am---JPY Core Tokyo CPI y/y
7:30am---JPY Manufacturing PMI
7:30am---JPY Overall Household Spending y/y
7:30am---JPY Unemployment Rate
7:50am---JPY Industrial Production m/m (p)
1:00pm---JPY Housing Starts y/y
1:45pm---CHF CPI m/m
2:00pm---EUR German Retail Sales m/m
5:00pm---EUR CPI y/y (p)
5:00pm---EUR Unemployment Rate
5:00pm---EUR Italian CPI m/m
5:00pm---EUR Consumer Confidence
5:30pm---GBP Consumer Confidence
8:30pm---USD Core PCE Price Index m/m
8:30pm---USD Personal Spending m/m
8:30pm---USD Personal Income m/m
9:45pm---USD Chicago PMI
10:00pm--USD Factory Orders m/m
10:00pm--USD Consumer Sentiment (r)
10:00pm--USD Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks

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Thursday, August 23, 2007

My USD/JPY Trade (23-08-2007)



*Attached picture is the USD/JPY (Hourly Charts). Click on it for a bigger version.

Hello people. My trade today with the USD/JPY. I saw the momentum of this pair of currency is a little bullish but sort of moving slowly. I wasn't confident enough to open a long (buy) position but what I saw today was that, this pair has broke my resistance at 200ma in the hourly charts and it is just sitting down there.

Ok, I admit, I used a little bit of fundamentals to gain further confidence upon initiating this particular trade. Found out around noon time (SG Time) that BOJ's Fukui is going to speak at around 2:30pm (SG Time).

I initiated a long (buy) position at around 2:39pm (SG Time) at the price line of 115.86 with stop loss at 115.50 and my target profit at 117.00. I was watching the market very closely to see if there is any chance to show that it will not go my way. Suddenly, at 5pm (SG Time), it jumped and my target profit was hit at 117.00 at 6:16pm (SG Time). Profit of 114pips for today (23-08-2007).

Posting of my trades...

Hello fellow readers of ForexNewsPaper.blogspot.com. I will be starting to post most of my trades here in my blog :) The decision was made when one of my mentors in trading told me that I should be posting my trades here online to share with a broader audience base :) So, look out for most of my trades here :)

Sunday, August 19, 2007

Global Events Calendar [20-08-2007] - [24-08-2007]

*Time is with respect to Singapore Time (GMT+8:00)

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Global Events Calendar [20-08-2007] - [24-08-2007]
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Monday [20-08-2007]
7:01am---GBP Rightmove House Price Index m/m
3:15pm---CHF PPI m/m
4:30pm---GBP Public Sector Net Borrowing
4:30pm---GBP M4 Money Supply m/m
10:00pm--USD Leading Index m/m

Tuesday [21-08-2007]
7:50am---JPY All Industries Activity Index m/m
5:00pm---EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment
5:00pm---EUR ZEW Economic Sentiment
5:00pm---EUR Trade Balance

Wednesday [22-08-2007]
7:50am---JPY Trade Balance
4:00pm---EUR Current Account
5:00pm---EUR Industrial New Orders m/m
6:00pm---GBP CBI Industrial Trends Orders
10:30pm--USD Crude Oil Inventories

Thursday [23-08-2007]
[Time Unknown]---JPY Interest Rate Announcement
[Time Unknown]---JPY BOJ Governor Fukui Speaks
2:00pm-----------EUR German GDP q/q (r)
2:15pm-----------CHF Trade Balance
3:15pm-----------CHF Employment Level
4:30pm-----------GBP Business Investment q/q (p)
5:00pm-----------CHF ZEW Expectations
8:30pm-----------USD Unemployment Claims

Friday [24-08-2007]
7:50am---JPY CSPI y/y
2:00pm---EUR German Import Price Index m/m
4:00pm---EUR Manufacturing PMI (p)
4:00pm---EUR Services PMI (p)
4:30pm---GBP GDP q/q (r)
4:30pm---GBP Index of Services 3m/3m
8:30pm---USD Durable Goods Orders m/m
8:30pm---USD Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
10:00pm--USD New Home Sales

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Sunday, August 12, 2007

Global Events Calendar [13-08-2007] - [17-08-2007]

*Time is with respect to Singapore Time (GMT+8:00)

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Global Events Calendar [13-08-2007] - [17-08-2007]
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Monday [13-08-2007]
7:50am---JPY GDP q/q (p)
7:50am---JPY GDP Deflator y/y (p)
7:50am---JPY Current Account
2:00pm---EUR German WPI m/m
4:30pm---GBP PPI Input m/m
4:30pm---GBP PPI Output m/m
8:30pm---USD Retail Sales m/m
8:30pm---USD Core Retail Sales m/m
8:30pm---USD Business Inventories m/m
10:30pm--GBP Leading Index m/m

Tuesday [14-08-2007]
7:01am---GBP RICS House Price Balance
7:50am---JPY Tertiary Industry Activity Index m/m
2:00pm---EUR German GDP q/q (p)
2:40pm---EUR French GDP q/q (p)
2:45pm---EUR French CPI m/m
4:30pm---GBP CPI y/y
4:30pm---GBP Core CPI y/y
4:30pm---GBP RPI y/y
5:00pm---EUR GDP q/q (p)
5:00pm---EUR Industrial Production m/m
8:30pm---USD PPI m/m
8:30pm---USD Core PPI m/m
8:30pm---USD Trade Balance

Wednesday [15-08-2007]
3:15pm---CHF Retail Sales y/y
4:30pm---GBP MPC Meeting Minutes
4:30pm---GBP Average Earnings Index +Bonus q/y
4:30pm---GBP Claimant Count Change
4:30pm---GBP Unemployment Rate
8:30pm---USD CPI m/m
8:30pm---USD Core CPI m/m
8:30pm---USD Empire State Business Conditions Index
9:00pm---USD TIC Net Long-Term Transactions
9:15pm---USD Industrial Production m/m
9:15pm---USD Capacity Utilization Rate
10:30pm--USD Crude Oil Inventories

Thursday [16-08-2007]
1:00am---USD NAHB Housing Market Index
2:00pm---EUR German CPI m/m (r)
4:30pm---GBP Retail Sales m/m
5:00pm---EUR CPI y/y (r)
8:30pm---USD Housing Starts
8:30pm---USD Building Permits
8:30pm---USD Unemployment Claims

Friday [17-08-2007]
12:00am--USD Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
2:00pm---EUR German PPI m/m
2:45pm---EUR French Nonfarm Employment q/q (p)
9:00pm---USD St. Louis Fed President Poole Speaks
10:00pm--USD Consumer Sentiment (p)

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