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Friday, October 31, 2008

My EUR/USD Trade (30-10-2008) --- Position Squared

*Click on the images for the enlarged version.






Howdy everyone,

Before I start, wish everyone a Happy Hallowen 2008 :)

Let's get started. My trade on EUR/USD yesterday (30-10-2008). I looked at the charts the whole day and price just keeps on dropping without giving me any story to initiate any open position. What my four teachers had taught me is that, to be patient with the market, stick to my rules and trading plan and that is what I did and continued on doing corporate action and pricing at my desk.

I came home, had dinner at home because my wife was feeling a little unwell. Then I went back to sit in front of my "VGN-C25G/B" to look at my charts.

Then I saw market had an interim support at the price line of 1.3033 and 09:00pm (Singapore Time) | 01:00pm (GMT) candle broke the price line. At the same time MAs are turning below, my slow MACD is already below, Stochs changed its mind and turned back below.

I initiated a short position at the price line of 1.2956 at 10:04 (Singapore Time) | 02:04pm (GMT). My Stop Loss at 1.2995 (39pips) and Target Profit at 1.2845 (111pips). Risk : Reward = 39 : 111 = 1 : 2.8

Why my Target Profit at that price? With 50% Fibo and my Weekly Pivot Point, they are at par at the price line of 1.2815 and a price action support at 1.2843 (28-10-2008's high). Hence, being a conservative trader as always, I placed my Target Profit at the mentioned price line at 1.2845.

I waited for the 10:00pm (Singapore Time) | 02:00 (GMT) candle to finish forming at the end of the hour. When it was done, it was unable to clear below my 200ma support and resistance at yesterday's high. Hence, I shifted my Stop Loss to Protective Stop at my entry price before I went to bed.

Woke up today and found out that my Target Profit has been hit at 11:46pm (Singapore Time) | 03:46pm (GMT), just as I was about to sleep :)

111pips profit for this trade.

Peace and trade safely everyone...

Wednesday, October 29, 2008

My USD/JPY Trade (28-10-2008) --- Position Squared

*Click on the images for the enlarged version.






Hello everyone,

I apologise for not posting anything for the longest time. OMG! I didn't even have time to capture my trades done for posting. All I had was trade and zoom back to fight the financial meltdown at my desk.

Anyways, I managed to squeeze sometime to at least post this one out :)

My trade on the USD/JPY done on 28-10-2008.

Was only looking on Monday at the market as it goes by and I saw a consolidation and a wedge being formed. It broke out and even that didn't tempt me a little bit to be trigger happy.

Stick the rules and it is around the Weekly Pivot. It broke above Weekly Pivot then came back down and it went back up and that was when my eyes were brighten up.

My Moving Averages are up, both my MACDs are up and my Stochs are like sky high and my GRBB was in a good mood. Waited for that hour to end to re-confirm price action is strong enough to stay above the Weekly Pivot and initiated a long position at the start of the next hour at the price line of 95.34 at 08:00pm (Singapore Time) | 12:00am (GMT).

My Stop Loss is at 94.80 (54pips) and Target Profit at 98.00 (266pips) which just below 38.2% Fibo (Weekly Chart) and Low of 10-10-2008. Risk : Reward = 54 : 266 = 4.9

Basically, after that, I didn't look at my charts and continued with my things. Went home, had dinner with my wife and do some other stuffs. The next day, when I woke up, looked at my charts and my Target Profit was hit at 03:21am (Singapore Time) : 07:21pm (GMT).

266pips profit for this trade.

Peace and trade safely everyone...

Monday, October 20, 2008

Stock futures higher as investors watch earnings...

Source: Mail.com

Wall Street headed for a higher open Monday as investors cheered signs of thawing in global credit markets even as they poured over a batch of quarterly earnings for clues about whether the U.S. faces a short downturn or a deep, protracted recession. Ahead of the market's open, Dow Jones industrial average futures rose 161, or 1.83 percent, to 8,932.

On Friday, the Dow ended 127 points lower after another back-and-forth session that has characterized recent trading, the volatility was markedly less.

The Standard & Poor's 500 index futures rose 20.70, or 2.22 percent, to 954.20 and the Nasdaq 100 index futures rose 24.25, or 1.85 percent, to 1,335.25.

Shaken by the extreme volatility of trading over the past two weeks, investors were hopeful that improvements in the credit markets signaled that a bottom has been reached and that normalcy will return to edgy financial markets.

In a snapshot of how the real economy is weathering the crisis, companies from sectors including retail, credit cards, defense, energy and technology report third-quarter earnings Monday. Investors are watching the reports for any indication of where the U.S. economy is headed.

Toy maker Mattel Inc. said Monday its fiscal third-quarter profit rose on higher sales of its Fisher-Price and American Girl brands, but results missed Wall Street expectations as expenses rose. Meanwhile, rival Hasbro Inc. reported lower profits for the third quarter but still beat expectations on sales of its Star Wars, Playskool and Nerf toys.

But analysts say the companies' expectations about how they'll perform going forward will be more telling.

Strains in credit markets continued showing signs of easing after a raft of bailout measures by governments around the world, including a joint U.S. and European plan to buy stakes in private banks to boost their lending. Demand for Treasury bills, regarded as the safest assets around, lessened Monday but remained relatively high in a sign that there was still much fear in the markets.

The three-month Treasury bill Monday yielded 0.82 percent, unchanged from late Friday. That's better than the 0.20 percent of last Wednesday, but the yield but has not surpassed 1 percent in more than a week.

Investors were also optimistic about the steady decline in bank-to-bank lending rates, which fell for a sixth straight day Monday. The London interbank offered rate, or Libor, for three-month dollar loans fell 0.36 percent to 4.06 percent, the biggest daily drop since January.

The dollar was lower against other major currencies, while gold prices rose.

In other earnings, Halliburton Co. on Monday reported a third-quarter net loss of $21 million, due largely to the cash settlement of convertible debt. However, the oilfield services provider said operating income topped $1 billion for the first time.

Earnings from American Express Co., Lockheed Martin Corp. and Texas Instruments Inc. are due later in the day.

Investors will also be waiting for comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, who is scheduled to appear Monday before the House Budget Committee to give lawmakers an update on the financial crisis. Bernanke is likely to once again put the country on notice that there won't be a quick fix while potentially leaving the door open for further interest rate cuts to provide some relief.

Light, sweet crude was up $1.77 to $73.62 a barrel in premarket electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Last week, it sank to an almost 16-month low on worries about a deep global recession obliterating fuel demand.

Financial markets overseas were higher.

Japan's Nikkei stock average was up 3.59 percent. Britain's FTSE 100 was up 2.09 percent, Germany's DAX index was up 1.95 percent, and France's CAC-40 was up 1.78 percent.