The event risk of tomorrow's BoE MPC rate announcement is lending support to O/N implied option volatility, with 9.5/12.0 touted as the current market. Should the MPC raise the base rate by another 25bp tomorrow, it will be first back-to-back UK rate hike since the year 2000 (Jan & Feb).
The 1-week, meanwhile, is gleaning benefit from the event risk of next Wednesday's publication of the quarterly BoE inflation report. The 1-week is 6.75/7.75 last. An option dealer yesterday suggested that the brave might consider spread selling an O/N option against the purchase of a 1-week strike, in expectation ofan unchanged base rate verdict.
This would shift the market-moving focus to nextweek's BoE inflation report. Minutes from this week's MPC meeting will be published a fortnight today (Feb 21). The 2-week is 6.9/7.6 last.
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