JPY headed lower in the European morning, with softer Japanese CPI data encouraging further carry trade demand. The JPY experienced a mixed overnight session, with background dollar weakness offsetting JPY weakness in the crosses. This turned around into the European session, with aggressive JPY cross demand by speculative accounts and momentum funds setting the tone.
USD/JPY traded though 116.00 early on amid Japanese name demand. Rumours of central bank commercial interest were noted, along with reports of importer demand and leverage account interest. Stops were triggered above 116.10 and 116.30 left by CTAs and model funds yesterday. Follow through buying lost momentum around 116.40 and the pair fell away. EUR/JPY surged higher amid ongoing carry trade interest and retail investor demand.
Speculative accounts and momentum funds gunned for 154.00 option positions but the pair stopped short at 153.98. The pair found support around the 153.80 area, with another test anticipated in the afternoon session. USD/JPY saw some option flows relating to 116.00 strikes, which are expected to attract into the NY options cut.
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